# 人选择信仰的原理

人只能观察到现象，现象为各种孤立事件。

为了安抚当下情绪和预测未来，需要建构理论。建构的理论无法直接观察，也无法直接确定其正确性。只能通过观测现象进行验证。

理论预测的未来，会因为人对该未来的好恶而带来情绪。该情绪是否被人接受，决定了带来该情绪的理论是否被人接受。

人会有一个情绪基调，即该个体偏好于体验什么样的情绪。该情绪偏好常常导致理论偏好。


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